VIRUSMYTH HOMEPAGE


DEBATING AZT
Appendix I


When we consider upon what ludicrous evidence the most preposterous beliefs have been easily, and by millions, entertained, we may well hesitate before pronouncing anything incredible.

-- The Last Days of Hitler
Hugh Trevor-Roper


In the preamble to his response to my article AZT: A Medicine from Hell, top HIV honcho Des Martin floats some scary statistics about HIV infection rates - all terrific fund-raising stuff. It will come as an awkward disappointment, no doubt, to those whose careers thrive on such numbers, to be confronted with The World Health Report 1998. It records that “using the latest data gathered and validated by WHO”, in 1996 South Africa had a magnificent 729 AIDS cases - of a population of 40 odd million. A few years ago our experts predicted 200 000 AIDS orphans by 1997 in KwaZulu-Natal, my province. Guess how many children were reported orphaned here in total over the period 1996/7 (car-crashes, whatever) according to our national Department of Welfare’s current Annual Statistical Report: - a whopping 971. Some epidemic! One could go on trotting out similar spectacular flops, but suffice it to say that nowhere on the planet has a single prediction of AIDS exploding into and decimating the general population ever come to pass. No demographic data anywhere speak to an “AIDS epidemic.” Scrutinised, AIDS statistics always turn to mush, and it’s when you home in on the “African AIDS” figures that the show really turns to farce. It’s all computer modeling, premised on the creed that an HIV-positive test result predicts sickness and death after 8 years or so. Could it be that there is something wrong with the theory? The public rightly yawns in reaction to Martin’s silly doomsday histrionics. We’ve noticed that the ‘experts’ are always postponing their plague with which they menace us for money and attention. And since the overwhelming majority of HIV-positive people are healthy, what is this Alice in Wonderland talk of his - this “HIV disease” in the absence of any AIDS defining illness?

Dr Martin states, “[HIV] disease is a major global health problem and is associated with a significant morbidity and mortality.” The Harvard School of Public Health doesn’t think so. In its encyclopaedic Global Burden of Disease Study, published in 1996 for the World Health Organization and the World Bank, it reports that “HIV currently [rates] twenty-eighth in the rankings…[in the] global pattern of disease burden.” That’s not even close to accidental falls (14th) or suicide (17th) as causes of disability, illness and death “for all regions of the world.” What this means for the ‘everyone is at risk of catching AIDS’ propaganda with which we’re relentlessly bombarded by scare-mongering AIDS careerists is that in truth you’re actually twice as likely to succumb in an accidental fall - about as remote a likelihood as you one day putting a gun to your head.

Consider Uganda, once the shining sore in African AIDS mythmaking, until Southern Africa was discovered to be a more lucrative market. Sold to the world as the epicentre of the ‘AIDS epidemic in Africa’, Uganda was said by the WHO to have a million HIV positives in 1987, about one in twenty. The same number in 1997, according to several articles in the Lancet in 1997 and 1998. Aren’t contagious epidemics supposed to follow an exponential bell-curve increase in case incidence? Because this is what any textbook on epidemiology will tell you. In December 1998, in its Weekly Epidemiological Record, the WHO stated the total number of Ugandan AIDS cases (not deaths) cumulatively since 1993 to be 55 201. (Bear in mind that in Africa, under the Bangui AIDS case definition, any number of common maladies can be recast as AIDS cases presumptively; you don’t even need an HIV-positive test result.) On the popular premise that AIDS takes you on average about 10 years after HIV infection, one might reasonably enquire where are the expected 500 000 dead? UNAIDS tells us - as a boasted triumph of health educational programmes advocating condom use - that the HIV-positive incidence rate among urban Ugandan women has dropped from about 40% to about 15%. So where are the mass graves of the lost 25%? Or are these women still around, hale and hearty, as the absence of any empirical evidence that Uganda has lost a quarter of its city-women to AIDS diseases would suggest? The exterminated villages of AIDS-lore, my Ugandan friend Denis Rugege explains simply, are deserted homesteads besieged by that timeless enemy, malaria, resurgent when general disease resistance is weakened in times of civil strife, infrastructural collapse and widespread hunger. And no one should need reminding what trauma Uganda has been through in recent decades.

Some contrary guys unimpressed by ‘the overwhelming evidence’ think that AIDS in our time is best construed as an epidemic of mass hysteria, rather than any conventional disease phenomenon. And that it is destined to pass rather like neurasthenia, the wandering womb, and hysteria among others in the olden days, to oblivion, as inevitably as that other dumb contemporary craze, ‘attention deficit disorder.’ After all, Professor Luc Montagnier himself notes that “AIDS has no typical symptoms.” Odd that. A disease as elastic as medical vogues and funding contingencies require.

For instance, if you’ve got tuberculosis and you’re HIV-negative you’ve just got tuberculosis, and really, who gives a damn? Who pays a mortgage and makes a career attending lushly sponsored overseas conferences to jabber excitedly about something as politically unsexy as TB? We have a hundred and twenty five TB cases here for every ‘AIDS’ case according to the WHO’s best data, but did you ever hear our AIDS activist crowd say a word about TB and the miserable social conditions that always hover about it? If you’ve got TB, and your blood contains arbitrary levels of certain proteins claimed to be produced by your immune system as antibodies specifically(#) to defeat a virus called HIV, voila, suddenly its not TB anymore, it’s !AIDS! Even if according to every marker, apart from the test result, the former and latter conditions are identical on clinical presentation. And even if the presence of antibodies without more has never before in medicine been deemed sufficient evidence of an active infection by any pathogen. In South Africa, with your TB rechristened AIDS, two possibilities arise. If black, you’ll probably be sent away from the hospital untreated as a lost case on injury time. If white you’ll go on ‘antiretrovirals’ for AIDS - provided you can afford to buy your expensive, certain and inexorable slide to the mortuary on today’s deadly AIDS drugs.

To illustrate the absurd fluidity of the HIV-AIDS construct, if the AIDS epidemic predicted by the US Surgeon General fails to explode into the general population and instead smoulders dismayingly within its original risk groups, thereby threatening the US Centers for Disease Control’s glorious funding, just change the definition of AIDS to double its case incidence by the stroke of a pen. Chuck in invasive cervical cancer in the presence of HIV antibodies to keep feminist lobbyists happy by including their occasional malady as an AIDS indicator disease to enable them to pull Federal health benefits. No matter that it’s hard to imagine what cancer has to do with immune suppression, the claimed hallmark of AIDS.

Martin’s appalling, ignorant, death-wish contention that most HIV-positive children will die is not supported by a single controlled study anywhere. Local AIDS boff Clive Evian repeats the WHO accepted wisdom that these babies can acquire their mothers’ “HIV antibodies… without being truly HIV-infected”, and over time they disappear. Around the town in which I live, Pietermaritzburg, some black children born HIV-positive are sent to die in specially established hospices. Some born sick in abject poverty fail to thrive and die, however good the care. But most don’t. Years later they languish there without hope, having missed their appointments with death set for them by the weird missionary types who run these joints. Medicine has branded these bright-eyed children carriers of a vile, filthy, deadly contagion, and they are raised to expect death. The mark they bear is like the hidden mole in the armpit detected by the inquisition - meaningless in a sane world, but during an hysterical storm, super-charged with evil. Perfectly healthy, they are raised as though leprous. Imagine growing up like that. It’s beyond pitiful.

Just where this notion comes from that HIV-positive children tend to die is hard to fathom. In 1995, writing in the Journal of the American Medical Association, Davis et al reported that “Approximately 14,920 HIV-infected infants were born in the United States between 1978 and 1993. Of these, an estimated 12,240 children were living at the beginning of 1994; 26% were younger than 2 years, 35% were aged 2 to 4 years, and 39% were aged 5 years or older.” Which means that over 80% of children diagnosed HIV-positive at birth are still alive. No prizes for guessing what drug probably killed the others. On 18 May 1999, Dr. Warren Naamara, the Kenya adviser for the UNAIDS programme said, “Many HIV-positive children were now living beyond the usual five years and into their teens, bringing new challenges in the fight against the HIV/AIDS [and] more children born with the virus that causes AIDS now survive beyond the age of ten.” To the chagrin of the ‘AIDS experts’, these children just won’t die on time. How’s this for another stunning death wish: “The UNAIDS official said the new trend posed a threat to the management of disease in the five to 14 years age bracket, which was previously perceived as the hope for the next millennium, since it was largely free of the disease. Naamara…said HIV-positive children in sub-Sahara Africa were likely to contribute to the spread of the disease as most were orphans with no education or skills to derive a livelihood from.” (per PANA report, 20 May 1999.)

# Specific? In 1990, in the journal Cancer Research, Strandstrom et al reported that the blood of 72 of 144 healthy dogs tested for HIV antibodies with the Western blot test (the most ‘specific’, many ‘AIDS experts’ say) reacted positively with one or more bands. Dogs don’t get AIDS. Not even chimps whose DNA is more than 99% homologous with human DNA, and which are susceptible to all other pathogens causing real infectious diseases in humans.

Notes:

Concerning the biochemical phenomena said to evidence ‘HIV’, see An interview with Eleni Papadopulos, by Christine Johnson, 1997: http://www.virusmyth.com/aids/data/cjinterviewep.htm

About ‘HIV antibody testing’, see Do antibody tests prove HIV infection? An interview with Valendar Turner, by Huw Christie, 1997: http://www.virusmyth.com/aids/data/hcinterviewvt.htm

For a popular introduction to the erection of the HIV-AIDS construct and its root problems, see A Great Future Behind It; The Yin and Yang of HIV, by Valendar Turner & Andrew McIntyre, 1999: http://www.virusmyth.com/aids/data/vtyinyang.htm


VIRUSMYTH HOMEPAGE