VIRUSMYTH HOMEPAGE
Genetica 95: 165-171, 1995
HIV AS SURROGATE MARKER FOR DRUG USE: A RE-ANALYSIS OF
THE SAN FRANCISCO MEN'S HEALTH STUDY
Bryan J. Ellison1, Allen B. Downey 2 & Peter
H. Duesberg 1
1: Dept. of Molecular and Cell Biology, Stanley Hall,
University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
2: EECS Computer Science Division, 387 Soda Hall, University of California,
Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
Abstract
Our analysis of drug use and morbidity data from a cohort of 1034 men
yields the following results: 1) HIV infection is a strong indicator of
drug use - HIV positive respondents reported an average lifetime dose of
recreational drugs (excluding marijuana) 2.3 times higher than HIV negative
respondents. 2) Homosexuality is a strong indicator of drug use - homosexual
respondents reported an average lifetime dose 2.0 times higher than heterosexual
respondents. 3) The incidence of AIDS-defining diseases was not limited
to respondents infected with HIV, but was almost completely limited (98%)
to respondents who reported using drugs. We also address a previous report
(Ascher et al.) that was based on the same database and purported
to show that HIV alone correlates with the development of AIDS. Specifically,
we show that the relationship between HIV infection and CD4+ T Cell loss
is weaker than reported by Ascher et al., and provides little evidence
for causative relationship. These results support the hypothesis that long-term,
habitual drug use can cause the conditions known as AIDS (independent of
the presence of HIV), and refute the hypothesis that HIV alone causes these
conditions independent of drug use. *
VIRUSMYTH HOMEPAGE